Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.822538 4.563582 5.389711 6.376024 7.518428 8.796791 10.332261
2025-08-10 2.598839 3.499630 4.610641 6.069898 7.922804 10.182632 13.131044
2025-08-17 1.886966 2.815910 4.063271 5.835306 8.257807 11.419260 15.815863
2025-08-24 1.484927 2.421696 3.774178 5.825981 8.806429 12.914653 18.925569
2025-08-31 1.205379 2.129732 3.553459 5.841458 9.343816 14.401501 22.124487
2025-09-07 0.979430 1.866106 3.316636 5.774341 9.719249 15.658114 25.075760
2025-09-14 0.769049 1.579766 2.987303 5.498152 9.716232 16.322289 27.176681
2025-09-21 0.644153 1.416549 2.831017 5.471861 10.088650 17.570633 30.244521
2025-09-28 0.543284 1.276097 2.688373 5.441254 10.436677 18.792908 33.349811
2025-10-05 0.504894 1.252805 2.756211 5.791712 11.468570 21.209171 38.560707
2025-10-12 0.452619 1.188629 2.733438 5.966036 12.197785 23.165608 43.141336
2025-10-19 0.415741 1.150905 2.756666 6.228362 13.107663 25.495144 48.508633
2025-10-26 0.358177 1.054023 2.645103 6.215309 13.512801 26.994266 52.600041
2025-11-02 0.293429 0.923779 2.439117 5.978944 13.459192 27.660195 55.270782
2025-11-09 0.241463 0.813170 2.257258 5.765944 13.423215 28.346095 58.015379
2025-11-16 0.209685 0.750023 2.176025 5.762305 13.811222 29.855968 62.372897
2025-11-23 0.183515 0.696312 2.108401 5.779327 14.241180 31.474162 67.035749
2025-11-30 0.157491 0.635671 2.011832 5.713348 14.481361 32.729759 71.079226
2025-12-07 0.127691 0.553277 1.841002 5.439891 14.227705 32.962380 73.132175
2025-12-14 0.110919 0.510639 1.772448 5.413890 14.532853 34.363229 77.589384
2025-12-21 0.096346 0.471355 1.706042 5.383583 14.822945 35.749909 82.100192
2025-12-28 0.093565 0.477178 1.776755 5.730775 16.048696 39.219194 91.084910
2026-01-04 0.086439 0.463270 1.783798 5.903482 16.863629 41.848132 98.467594